Thursday, September 07, 2006

(DECK) - Six analysts have raised their numbers for this year, while five have done so for next year

Deckers has an excellent history of significantly beating earnings estimates. DECK has beaten the consensus estimate in 14 out of the past 15 quarters, with eight of them surprising by more than 40%. Six analysts have raised their numbers for this year, while five have done so for next year. Over the past 60 days, this year's estimates have increased 7.5% to $2.45 per share, while next year's numbers have jumped 6.8% to $2.84 per share. DECK is attractively priced at 15x next year's estimates, in-line with the long-term growth rate of 15%.

Full Analysis

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) engages in the design, production, and brand management of footwear for men, women, and children in the United States. Its products include slides, sport sandals, thongs, amphibious footwear, trail running shoes, hiking boots, rugged closed-toe footwear, sheepskin boots and slippers, and other casual footwear.

The company provides its products under Teva, Simple, and UGC brand names. Deckers Outdoor offers its products through domestic retailers; international distributors; and through its Web sites, catalogs, and retail outlet stores to end-user consumers. The company also operates in China and Macau.

DECK's stock got a strong boost after reporting second-quarter earnings that exceeded estimates and lifting its outlook. The company posted earnings of $2.7 million, or 21 cents per share. Sales edged 3 percent higher to $41.7 million from $40.3 million a year ago.

Deckers had expected earnings in a range of 3 cents to 5 cents per share and sales of $38 million to $40 million. Analysts forecast profit and revenue at the high end of the company's projections. The company raised its full-year outlook. Deckers now sees sales of $272 million to $278 million, up from a high-end estimate of $276 million. Earnings should range from $2.39 to $2.45 per share, up from a previous best-case estimate of $2.29.

Angel Martinez, President and Chief Executive Officer, stated, "We are very pleased that the positive momentum in our business has continued, allowing us to once again exceed expectations. During the quarter we experienced strong full price selling across all three of our brands evidenced by the 600 basis point improvement in our gross margin. We are particularly encouraged by the performance of Teva, as consumer reaction to a limited introduction of new styles as well as improved retail presence, helped drive results. At the same time, our strategic investments in marketing and advertising, research & development, and our retail and international infrastructures have us well positioned to capitalize on the many opportunities that still lie ahead, both domestically and overseas. We are focused on successfully executing our business plan and are dedicated to driving increased profitability and greater shareholder value."

The company has an excellent history of significantly beating earnings estimates. DECK has beaten the consensus estimate in 14 out of the past 15 quarters, with eight of them surprising by more than 40%. Six analysts have raised their numbers for this year, while five have done so for next year. Over the past 60 days, this year's estimates have increased 7.5% to $2.45 per share, while next year's numbers have jumped 6.8% to $2.84 per share. DECK is attractively priced at 15x next year's estimates, in-line with the long-term growth rate of 15%.

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Content Courtesy: Zacks Investment Research

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